7 Part 2: Enrollment Projections Used for Revenue Assumptions and Long-Term Demographic Patterns Provide a brief description of the university’s realistic enrollment projections for the projection period. To provide greater understanding of all enrollment projections, all universities are requested to provide information regarding categories noted below (New Enrollment, Retention, and Net Tuition Revenue). In a supplemental file located within the CPP workspace, data has been supplied to outline both demographic and market share patterns in modeled projections for each university through 2037. The nationwide demographic cliff of high school graduates presents important planning considerations for universities surrounding long-range enrollment outlooks. Below, universities should provide narrative commentary on their respective demographic trends and associated readiness planning and insert a chart that reflects projected in-state undergraduate enrollments through 2037. Lastly, a supplemental exhibit of enrollment projections by class level must be provided to outline where changes are anticipated (see supplemental exhibit), including rationale for the projections and what the university is doing to achieve those projections by student segment and relevant new enrollment and retention data. Actual Reforecast FY 2022-23 FY 2023-24 FY 2024-25 % Change FY 2025-26 % Change FY 2026-27 % Change Fall FTE Enrollment Clock Hour 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0% 0.00 0.0% 0.00 0.0% Undergraduate 5,988.33 6,080.47 6,080.47 0.0% 6,080.47 0.0% 6,080.47 0.0% Graduate 484.67 494.00 494.00 0.0% 494.00 0.0% 494.00 0.0% Total Fall FTE Enrollment (excludes clock hour students) 6,473.00 6,574.47 6,574.47 0.0% 6,574.47 0.0% 6,574.47 0.0% Annualized FTE Enrollment Undergraduate (includes clock hour) 5,992.91 6,209.42 6,204.00 -0.1% 6,191.00 -0.2% 6,185.00 -0.1% Graduate 655.14 665.78 671.20 0.8% 684.20 1.9% 690.20 0.9% Total Annualized FTE Enrollment 6,648.05 6,875.20 6,875.20 0.0% 6,875.20 0.0% 6,875.20 0.0% New Students - Fall First-Time Degree Seeking Undergraduate FTE 1,574.60 1,573.20 1,542.25 -2.0% 1,592.00 3.2% 1,592.00 0.0% New Students - Fall New Transfer Degree Seeking Undergraduate FTE 342.73 361.47 372.31 3.0% 381.62 2.5% 391.16 2.5% Fall Graduate FTE (All credit bearing) 484.67 494.00 494.00 0.0% 494.00 0.0% 494.00 0.0% Second-Year Persistence Rate for First-Time, Full-Time Bachelor Degree Seeking Students 79.3% 74.8% 76.0% 1.6% 77.0% 1.3% 78.0% 1.3% Six-Year Graduation Rate for First-Time, Full-Time Bachelor Degree Seeking Students 54.1% 56.8% 57.0% 0.4% 57.5% 0.9% 58.0% 0.9% Unrestricted Institutional Aid $ 14,052,963 15,975,000 $ $16,175,000 1.3% $16,175,000 0.0% $16,175,000 0.0% Net Tuition Revenue per FTE Student* $6,092 $6,276 $6,255 -0.3% $6,318 1.0% $6,375 0.9% *Undergraduate academic year tuition revenue less institutional aid/annualized undergraduate FTE enrollment. Note: this estimate may include aid awarded to graduate students. Enrollment Chart Projected Fall 2022 PA Resident Enrollments ‐ Kutztown Fall 2023 PA Resident Enrollments ‐ Kutztown Fall 2024 PA Resident Projected Enrollment ‐ Kutztown Fall 2025 PA Resident Projected Enrollment ‐ Kutztown Fall 2026 PA Resident Projected Enrollment ‐ Kutztown Fall 2027 PA Resident Projected Enrollment ‐ Kutztown Fall 2028 PA Resident Projected Enrollment ‐ Kutztown Fall 2029 PA Resident Projected Enrollment ‐ Kutztown Fall 2030 PA Resident Projected Enrollment ‐ Kutztown Fall 2031 PA Resident Projected Enrollment ‐ Kutztown Fall 2032 PA Resident Projected Enrollment ‐ Kutztown Fall 2033 PA Resident Projected Enrollment ‐ Kutztown Fall 2034 PA Resident Projected Enrollment ‐ Kutztown Fall 2035 PA Resident Projected Enrollment ‐ Kutztown Fall 2036 PA Resident Projected Enrollment ‐ Kutztown Fall 2037 PA Resident Projected Enrollment ‐ Kutztown Percent Change from Fall 2023 Headcount Change from Fall 2023 Total New PA Resident 1350 1387 1,346 1,400 1,398 1,357 1,317 1,316 1,304 1,298 1,302 1,267 1,328 1,301 1,283 1,270 ‐8% ‐117 ,.,. , ... I 1350 1 ! ,.,. ,,,. l>00 I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I New PA Resident Annual Projections f-112021PA J.a20HPA F.al2Ct141'A fall 2Ct1SPA faU21l1&PA Fd2011PA Fd2l»8PA f.t!Xl29PA f .. 1030P"lt ,._, ,.,.,.., RtS6dftlt flU1dierit ...... , ....... ....... RfsideM ,. ..... lfl,"""'"1t, (1m::il~r-t, PtojK'ltd ProjK.1td Pro;«.!ed Pro;,c1ed Protf'(Eed Proj«ttd F'tojtcted 11:~own icumown EntcOment [nrOllmtl"lt [r,r(IIIMf'M Ervollrl'lf'M Er110Umtn1 {n,<flmt(JI {nr<limf1'11 Kutttowti ,:utl\OWII ICw.nown 1C111nown IC~1'4c,wn KuU10lliln Kulttown - Tou!HtwPA~nt r•JOl1 l'"A r•20l1PA hl200lPA ,._, ,. .... , 11.tskfttll PfojtctNt Ptojtcted P'rojoc1NI (nrcom,e,,,c [nrOlltnottit lrircAl"fltnt ~tnown, Kulltown Kulltcwn F.all,Ol4PA f.Jl21llSPA IIIU1dtt1l flUldtnt P'ro,jmed P~ed EmOlk'rlft'lt ENOllmeA'I KuuttlWJI ""'"'"" Percent Change from Fall 2023: ·8% Headcount Change from Fall 2023:-117 f~R2Q3&PA fd201:1PA Res-dent ....... PrO,,Ofd Pro,N:!IXI ErwOlltr,tM ErwOllrf'lf'l'III 1(1Jtrtown ll:1.1tnown
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